Data to inform COVID-mitigation strategy in your school.
Do we really need 6 feet of distance if we’re all wearing masks?
This Ohio district has kept kids in person all year with three feet of distancing and no in-school transmission, thanks to strict mask rules. An Indiana district mentioned in this article let kids who were between 3 and 6 feet of COVID-positive classmates stay in school – and infection rates didn’t rise.
Those stories are just anecdotal evidence, I grant you. But this meta-analysis from the Lancet isn’t. It showed that if your baseline risk is already low, keeping 3 feet of distance is pretty much as safe as keeping 6 feet. If you’re wearing masks and your space is well-ventilated, you’ve lowered your baseline risk.
This doc, developed by the San Francisco Department of Public Health, tells you everything you need to know. Should you even bother buying them? What does all the jargon mean? What kind should you buy? Once you’ve got them, where should you put them? It’s all spelled out.
For K-12 Schools Through Phased Mitigation
(CDC Guidance, 02.12.21)
Wear a knotted-and-tucked surgical mask (or a surgical mask under a 3-layer cloth mask). Keep your distance (at least 6 feet). Wash your hands. Keep a clean, ventilated school. Use contact tracing. Use cohorts or pods. Screen for COVID if possible, prioritizing areas hard-hit by infections. This should all sound pretty familiar by now, but it’s nice to finally hear it in no uncertain terms from on high.
Not sure why more emphasis wasn’t placed on ventilation, and why their metrics place more than 90% of schools in red zones as of mid-February. But were you really expecting perfection? C’mon. At least we *have* national guidelines now.
Wear Masks, Use Good Filters,
and Open the Windows
Ok, the CDC does care about ventilation, too. Here are their recommendations for schools and childcare settings. If you’re wondering what they recommend, read the headline above this paragraph.
If you want much more detailed advice, go to the WHO’s Roadmap to Improve and Ensure Good Ventilation in the Context of COVID-19 and scroll to p. 23 (non-residential settings).
Two Apps to Help Maximize Classroom Safety
How long can 15 students safely stay in a 900-square-foot classroom while masked, seated, and talking? How about 20 students in a 1200-square-foot classroom? This app, from fluid dynamics researchers at MIT, lets you input your school’s parameters to find out what works.
According to this model of COVID-19 aerosol transmission from the Max Planck Society, opening windows every hour, having everyone wear masks, and decreasing the number of students from 25 to 12 took the probability of infection in a classroom from 90% to 12%. You can enter parameters for your own rooms and see how your risk changes.
Still Disinfecting Surfaces?
It Might Not Be Worth It
“In hospitals, surfaces have been tested near COVID-19 patients, and no infectious virus can be identified. . . . because the virus is very fragile in the environment —
it decays very quickly.” (WBUR, 12.28.20)
“Hand washing is crucial . . . because surface transmission can’t be ruled out. But it’s more important to improve ventilation systems or to install air purifiers than to sterilize surfaces.” (Nature, 01.29.21)
One Type of Indoor Area
Is Especially High-Risk
A study found that “moving people leave behind a floating bubble of virus-laden droplets or a trailing, virus-containing cloud. In a narrow corridor, this cloud becomes concentrated — posing more danger to those coming behind than it otherwise would in a larger, open-air space.” Take-home message: ventilate your corridors as well as you can!
The mother lode of scientific resources for schools and communities, aggregated by the Division of Infectious Disease at Massachusetts General Hospital. Intended for use by school physicians. Continuously updated.
The Swiss Cheese Model
Of Pandemic Defense
(NY Times, 12.05.20)
“The Swiss Cheese Respiratory Pandemic Defense recognizes that no single intervention is perfect at preventing the spread of the coronavirus. Each intervention (layer) has holes.”
But combine several layers, and you have a really good barrier. The trick is you need all those layers together, not just one.
Six Feet of Distance Isn’t Enough
If the Airflow Is Right
(LA Times, 12.09.20)
Thanks to Korea’s unparalleled contact tracing, this study was able to show how an unmasked restaurant diner was infected in 5 minutes from more than 20 feet away.
Why does this matter for schools? Because if you’re serving meals, six feet of distance between your students may not be enough. (emphasis added)
Some 2-Week Coronavirus Quarantines Can Be Cut to
10 or 7 Days
(Boston Globe, 12.02.20)
The CDC shortened its recommended quarantine duration – not because the science has changed, but because they’d rather have people quarantine for a week or 10 days than not at all.
Concrete Evidence That Masks Help Keep Schools Safe (ProPublica, 11.24.20)
This article focuses on two Georgia school systems – one where a mask mandate was instituted, and one without a mask mandate. Their different outcomes highlight the need to follow CDC guidance on COVID-19 precautions.
New Science Suggests How to Shorten Quarantine
Testing upon exit of quarantine — ideally around day six or seven — is more effective than upon entry, and testing twice could make an eight-day quarantine as effective as a 14-day one.
Masks Work. Really. We’ll Show You How (NY Times, 10.30.20)
With coronavirus cases still rising, wearing a mask is more important than ever. In this animation, you will see just how effective a swath of fabric can be at fighting the pandemic.
Screening After Covid Recovery (10.29.20)
Student tests positive –> student quarantines –> student comes back to school. Should this student be part of COVID screening now?
Answer: The student should be excluded from COVID screening for 90 days after the positive test.
The Rockefeller Foundation’s report aims to help school administrators assess the risk of SARS-CoV-2 (the virus that causes Covid-19) in their schools, and identify key considerations in developing a screening
A team of researchers and clinicians answers questions about Covid-19. This link goes to the school section of their website.
Information on teachers’ rights and responsibilities during the pandemic, how to ensure equity for students, and teaching skills and strategies. Also includes resources for families.